@techreport{6d0e038922724be5bacb8fadf1984d24,
title = "A dynamic model of financial balances for the United Kingdom",
abstract = "We construct a new scenario analysis model for the United Kingdom using ONS data from 1987 to the present. The model links decisions about real variables to credit creation in the financial sector and decisions about asset allocation among investors for a wide array of financial assets. We develop, estimate, and calibrate the model from first principles as well as describing the stock-flow coherent database we construct to validate the model. We impose several scenarios on the model to test its usefulness as a medium term scenario analysis tool, including increases in banks{\^O}{\c C}{\"O} capital ratios, sudden stops, changes in investment, increases in house prices and fiscal expansions.",
keywords = "Economics and econometrics, flow of funds, macroeconomic modelling, sectoral balances",
author = "Antoine Godin and Stephen Burgess and Oliver Burrows and Stephen Kinsella and Stephen Millard",
year = "2016",
month = sep,
day = "2",
language = "English",
series = "Staff Working Paper",
publisher = "Bank of England",
number = "614",
type = "WorkingPaper",
institution = "Bank of England",
}