A novel method to value real options in health care: the case of a multicohort human papillomavirus vaccination strategy

  • Andrea Marcellusi
  • , Francesco Saverio Mennini
  • , Giampiero Favato
  • , Gianluca Baio
  • , Alessandro Capone

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    Abstract

    The payoff method showed distinctive advantages in the valuation of the cost-effectiveness of competing health care interventions, essentially determined by the replacement of the nonfuzzy numbers that are commonly used in cost-effectiveness analysis models, with fuzzy numbers as an input to inform the real option pricing method. The real option approach to value uncertainty makes policy making in health care an evolutionary process and creates a new "space" for decision-making choices.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)904-914
    JournalClinical Therapeutics
    Volume35
    Issue number7
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Jul 2013

    Keywords

    • Health services research

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