The 2026 midterms: the most likely midterm scenario may be an electoral draw where the Democrats win the House, but not the Senate

Peter Finn

Research output: Contribution to specialist publication › Article

Original language	English
Specialist publication	LSE USAPP United States Politics and Policy Blog
Publisher	London School of Economics
Publication status	Published - 30 Oct 2025

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https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2025/10/30/the-2026-midterms-the-most-likely-midterm-scenario-may-be-an-electoral-draw-where-the-democrats-win-the-house-but-not-the-senate/Licence: CC BY-NC

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Finn, P. (2025). The 2026 midterms: the most likely midterm scenario may be an electoral draw where the Democrats win the House, but not the Senate . LSE USAPP United States Politics and Policy Blog. https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2025/10/30/the-2026-midterms-the-most-likely-midterm-scenario-may-be-an-electoral-draw-where-the-democrats-win-the-house-but-not-the-senate/

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title = "The 2026 midterms: the most likely midterm scenario may be an electoral draw where the Democrats win the House, but not the Senate ",

author = "Peter Finn",

year = "2025",

month = oct,

day = "30",

language = "English",

journal = "LSE USAPP United States Politics and Policy Blog",

publisher = "London School of Economics",

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Finn, P 2025, 'The 2026 midterms: the most likely midterm scenario may be an electoral draw where the Democrats win the House, but not the Senate ' LSE USAPP United States Politics and Policy Blog. <https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2025/10/30/the-2026-midterms-the-most-likely-midterm-scenario-may-be-an-electoral-draw-where-the-democrats-win-the-house-but-not-the-senate/>