Variants of verbal uncertainty

Karl Halvor Teigen, Amélie Gourdon, Marie Juanchich

    Research output: Contribution to conferencePaperpeer-review

    Abstract

    We suggest that speakers can communicate the source of their uncertainty by framing their prediction with either a personal mode —I am uncertain that the team will win— or with an impersonal mode —It is uncertain that the team will win—. We studied the effect of such mode on how recipients judge the prediction. We found that participants judged impersonal prediction more informative, and more based on statistical information than personal prediction. In addition participants were more willing to bet according to impersonal prediction. Findings support the existence of variants of uncertainty and that uncertain claims convey more than a probability.
    Original languageEnglish
    Publication statusPublished - 18 Nov 2010
    EventSociety for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM) 31st Annual Conference - Saint Louis, Missouri, U.S.
    Duration: 20 Nov 201022 Nov 2010

    Conference

    ConferenceSociety for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM) 31st Annual Conference
    Period20/11/1022/11/10

    Bibliographical note

    Organising Body: Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM)

    Keywords

    • Communication, cultural and media studies

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